Greek Drama Plays Out on Global Stage

 

The second quarter ended with all eyes on Greece after the country failed to reach an agreement with its creditors. The impasse resulted in shuttered banks and imposed capital controls, at least until a July 5 referendum on whether to accept further austerity measures in exchange for a European bailout. The Mediterranean country also defaulted on its €1.5 billion payment to the International Monetary Fund (IMF). Eurozone and domestic markets tumbled on news of the continuing debt drama, with the Dow Jones, broad-market S&P 500 and the EAFE international indices dipping slightly into negative territory for the quarter. Of the three major domestic benchmarks, only the NASDAQ gained ground since March.

 

                        6/30/15 Close             3/31/15 Close             Change            Gain/Loss

DJIA                17,619.51                    17,776.12                    -156.61            -0.88%

NASDAQ        4,986.87                      4,900.89                      +85.98             1.75%

S&P 500          2,063.12                      2,067.89                      -4.77                -0.23%

MSCI EAFE    1,842.46                      1,849.34                      -6.88                -0.37%

 

Performance reflects price returns as of 4:15 p.m. EDT, June 30, 2015.

 

Some investors view the near-term volatility as a buying opportunity. “The Eurozone is going to take any steps necessary to protect its financial system,” believes Raymond James Chartered Market Technician Andrew Adams, “therefore, I continue to think Europe is going to be a favorable place to invest.”

 

The S&P 500 had been working its way toward its all-time high this month, but lost ground as the Greek crisis dragged on. Improving economic data (e.g., strong, steady pace for job growth with more than 3 million jobs added in the past 12 months) came on the heels of the government’s negative estimate of first-quarter GDP. However, that softness reflected the transitory impact of bad weather, West Coast port delays and a stronger dollar.

 

“Other measures, such as national income and domestic final sales, continued to reflect expansion in the first half of the year,” notes Chief Economist Scott Brown, “and the economy appears to be picking up steam heading into the second half.”

 

The Federal Reserve maintains that future monetary policy decisions will be data-dependent and expects conditions to warrant an initial increase in short-term interest rates by year-end with future increases expected to be very gradual. Policymakers will continue to watch overseas markets, as well, for signs of an adverse impact on our own economy.

“Concerns about the rest of the world (Greece, China, Latin America, and Puerto Rico) may be with us for a while,” says Brown, “but the fundamentals of the U.S. economy appear to be in good shape.”

 

I will continue to update you on relevant geopolitical events and market movements, especially if I come across anything that could impact your long-term financial plan.

 

 

 

Thomas Scanlon

Financial Advisor

360 East Center Street

Manchester, CT 06040

 

 

Investing involves risk, and investors may incur a profit or a loss. Past performance is not an indication of future results and there is no assurance that any of the forecasts mentioned will occur. Investors cannot invest directly in an index. The Dow Jones Industrial Average is an unmanaged index of 30 widely held stocks. The NASDAQ Composite Index is an unmanaged index of all common stocks listed on the NASDAQ National Stock Market. The S&P 500 is an unmanaged index of 500 widely held stocks. The MSCI EAFE (Europe, Australia, Far East) index is an unmanaged index that is generally considered representative of the international stock market. International investing involves additional risks such as currency fluctuations, differing financial accounting standards, and possible political and economic instability. These risks are greater in emerging markets. The performance noted does not include fees or charges, which would reduce an investor’s returns. There is no assurance the trends mentioned will continue or any forecasted events will occur. To opt out of receiving future emails from us, please reply to this email with the word “Unsubscribe” in the subject line. The information contained within this commercial email has been obtained from sources considered reliable, but we do not guarantee the foregoing material is accurate or complete.

 

 

Tagged with: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,
Categories

Check the background of this investment professional on FINRA's BrokerCheck

Securities offered through Raymond James Financial Services, Inc., Member FINRA / SIPC
Investment advisory services offered through Raymond James Financial Services Advisors, Inc.

These services are not available in all states. We may only transact business in your state if first registered, excluded or exempted from state broker dealer, investment adviser, BD agent or IA rep registration requirements. Please contact us for approval in your state. No follow up or individualized responses will be made by the firm, or its representative, in the state unless all registration requirements have been complied with by the firm and its representatives. This site is published for residents of the United States only. Raymond James' Financial Advisors may only conduct business with residents of the states for which they are properly registered. Therefore, a response to a request for information may be delayed. Please note that not all of the investments and services mentioned are available in every state. Investors outside of the United States are subject to securities and tax regulations within their applicable jurisdictions that are not addressed on this site. Contact your local Raymond James office for information and availability.

Your privacy: Raymond James has policies that restrict access to nonpublic personal information about you to those employees, associates and others who have need for that information to help us run our business, manage your accounts, market or provide investment alternatives or services to you, or to employees, associates, and others who assist those who help us run our business, manage your accounts, or market or provide investment alternatives or services to you. Additionally, we maintain physical, electronic, contractual, and procedural safeguards to protect your nonpublic personal information. RJ Privacy Notice

Links to other websites: Links are being provided for information purposes only. Raymond James is not affiliated with and does not endorse, authorize or sponsor any of the listed websites or their respective sponsors. Raymond James is not responsible for the content of any website or the collection or use of information regarding any website's users and/or members.

“Certified Financial Planner Board of Standards Inc. owns the certification marks CFP®, CERTIFIED FINANCIAL PLANNER™, CFP® (with plaque design) and CFP® (with flame design) in the U.S., which it awards to individuals who successfully complete CFP Board's initial and ongoing certification requirements.